president clinton, president nixon and president johnson. so i add ad 3% bogey going from seven% to 10% because of incredible polarization taking place in the country itself. we know leadership is all about credibility. as a matter of fact the most recent poll that just came out only 54% of all americans,,3 excuse me, 54% of americans do not think the president is credible. the president was reelected on his likability and credibilitiness and that is quickly being dissipated. i also readily acknowledge most analysts will not remotely comment about politics just because of that we don't want to alienate potential clients and the like, but in my view not commenting about politics is equivalent to ignoring interest interest earnings and interest rates. >> your analysis is interesting. i want to say with all due respect, one in 10 chance sounds insane. if i knew there was one in 10 chance getting hit by a car i wouldn't walk across the street. that is more theoretical possibility. you're saying a guy who won a landslide election that face it as